Our Mid-Year Outlook Report
Citi Analysts believe global growth will continue in 2018 as global GDP is projected to grow 3.4% this year and corporate earnings remain strong. However, Citi analysts have not dismissed the trade war fears and political risks that have contributed to market volatility in the first half of 2018. How can investors successfully navigate the second half of the year and capitalize on market volatility?
Strong Growth, Steady Inflation
Citi Analysts maintain their forecast of above-consensus global real GDP growth of 3.4% for 2018 and steady inflation of 2.5%.
Preference for Cyclicals
Citi analysts expect single-digit percentage gains for global equities by year-end underpinning a positive outlook on equities.
Seeking Shelter with Income
Citi Analysts favor selective opportunities in Emerging Market Debt, US High Yield and US Investment Grade Bonds.
Growth Expected Ahead
Oil prices may stay at-or-above US$78-80 per barrel, as non-OPEC supply growth may not be able to materially outpace demand growth.
Still Bearish on USD Longer Term
Citi Analysts expect USD weakness to resume as focus shifts back to the worsening twin deficits in the US.
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